Oscars Predictions

Some of these are just what I want to win, but most are what I think are going to win.

Best Picture
Brokeback Mountain
Capote
Crash
Good Night, and Good Luck
Munich

As much as I dislike this movie, I'm not stupid enough to think that the Academy isn't going to award it Best Picture. I seriously doubt any of the other films in the category have a good chance of winning.

Best Actor
Philip Seymour Hoffman, Capote
Terrence Howard, Hustle & Flow
Heath Ledger, Brokeback Mountain
Joaquin Phoenix, Walk the Line
David Strathairn, Good Night and Good Luck

Why didn't I pick Heath Ledger? Simple, I don't think he was that good. Philip Seymour Hoffman apparently did an amazingly creepy job of capturing Capote, so there isn't any reason to doubt why he wouldn't get it. Unless the Academy really wants to go for broke and give Brokeback Mountain all of the major awards.

Best Actress
Judi Dench, Mrs. Henderson Presents
Felicity Huffman, Transamerica
Keira Knightley, Pride and Prejudice
Charlize Theron, North Country
Reese Witherspoon, Walk the Line

Simple choice here. Judi Dench and Charlize Theron have already won an Oscar. Felicity Huffman is a TV actress on a ridiculously stupid show, and Keira Knightley just wasn't impressive enough. Plus, Reese Witherspoon has won every award already for her role as June Carter, so they may as well just give her this one too.

Best Supporting Actor
George Clooney, Syriana
Matt Dillon, Crash
Paul Giamatti, Cinderella Man
Jake Gyllenhaal, Brokeback Mountain
William Hurt, A History of Violence

Unlike Heath Ledger, I actually enjoyed Jake Gyllenhaal's performance in Brokeback Mountain. He at least was convincing. Though I don't understand why he's not up for Best Actor, he had just as big a part as Heath Ledger. Although he'll probably win, George Clooney could win as well, so it's a toss-up.

Best Supporting Actress
Amy Adams, Junebug
Catherine Keener, Capote
Frances McDormand, North Country
Rachel Weisz, The Constant Gardener
Michelle Williams, Brokeback Mountain

This is just so ridiculously absurd that I had to pick her. JEN from Dawson's Creek is up for an Oscar! Next thing you know, we'll all be playing ice hockey with Satan. I think Michelle Williams will win, because she did a great job, but I hope hope hope that Rachel Weisz wins instead.

Best Director
Ang Lee, Brokeback Mountain
Bennett Miller, Capote
Paul Haggis, Crash
George Clooney, Good Night and Good Luck
Steven Spielberg, Munich

They will not give Ang Lee another Oscar. I refuse to believe that he could win two Oscars for two extremely un-entertaining movies. I fell asleep during Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon, and was very close to doing the same during Brokeback Mountain. Plus, the Academy enjoys giving awards to actors-turned-directors. Case in Point: Mel Gibson.

Best Foreign Film
Don't Tell, Italy
Joyeux Noel, France
Paradise Now, Palestine
Sophie Scholl - The Final Days, Germany
Tsotsi, South Africa

I guessed this one. The trailer is actually up at apple.com, so I figured, if it's that important to have a trailer on the Apple website, maybe it'll win. Plus, the title is cool.

Adapted Screenplay
Larry McMurtry and Diana Ossana, Brokeback Mountain
Dan Futterman, Capote
Jeffrey Caine, The Constant Gardener
Josh Olson, A History of Violence
Tony Kushner and Eric Roth, Munich

Again, a no brainer. God, it's no surprise this movie was full of scenes with absolutely no dialogue; the actual story is like 20 pages. And unlike The Snow Walker, the script writers didn't do a very good job with adapting the screenplay. Never the less, it'll still win, because it'll win Best Picture.

Original Screenplay
Paul Haggis and Bobby Moresco, Crash
George Clooney and Grant Heslov, Good Night and Good Luck
Woody Allen, Match Point
Noah Baumbach, The Squid and the Whale
Stephen Gaghan, Syriana

Can we get a "boo yah" for Canadian Paul Haggis?? I hope he'll win. Crash is a supposedly good movie. Everyone keeps telling me I should watch it, but I'm really not into those confusing there's-more-than-one-storyline movies. Call me simple, but I like movies that have one storyline. BUT, it's possible that George Clooney could get it. Booerns.

Animated Feature Film
Howl's Moving Castle
Tim Burton's Corpse Bride
Wallace & Gromit in the Curse of the Were-Rabbit

As much as I love the fact that Howl's Moving Castle was the old cell-animated style of animation, it was a really weird fucking movie. I never saw the Corpse Bride, but apparently it wasn't all that impressive. Wallace & Gromit is hilarious, and it's a great movie for everyone, so hopefully it will win.

Art Direction
Good Night and Good Luck
Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire
King Kong
Memoirs of a Geisha
Pride and Prejudice

I haven't seen either Memoirs of a Geisha or Good Night and Good Luck, so I'm really only choosing between Harry Potter, King Kong and Pride and Prejudice. I'd like Pride and Prejudice to win, but I have a horrible feeling that Memoirs of a Geisha will win.

Cinematography
Batman Begins
Brokeback Mountain
Good Night and Good Luck
Memoirs of a Geisha
The New World

I really disliked Brokeback Mountain, for everything, but they did a really good job with cinematography. I think the only thing that kept me awake was the cinematography. The sweeping shots of the wilderness as well as certain scenes in Utah, or wherever the hell the movie was set.

Sound Mixing
The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe
King Kong
Memoirs of a Geisha
Walk the Line
War of the Worlds

Possible awarded to Walk the Line because the Academy felt bad that they left it off the Best Picture roster.

Sound Editing
King Kong
Memoirs of a Geisha
War of the Worlds

Random choice. And the only one of the three that I've seen.

Original Score
Brokeback Mountain, Gustavo Santaolalla
The Constant Gardener, Alberto Iglesias
Memoirs of a Geisha, John Williams
Munich, John Williams
Pride and Prejudice, Dario Marianelli

I'm sorry, but if Brokeback Mountain wins for original score, I am going to punch someone in the face. Forgive me if I'm wrong, but I think there was a total of 8 notes on the entire soundtrack that were played repetitively. Pride and Prejudice should win for this. Not only is it beautiful, but it makes the film, which, in my opinion, is the whole point of this award. And is it just me, or is it unfair that John Williams is nominated twice in the same category?

Costume
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
Memoirs of a Geisha
Mrs. Henderson Presents
Pride and Prejudice
Walk the Line

I actually would like to see something like Pride and Prejudice or Mrs. Henderson Presents win for this, but neither of them will. The costumes weren't incredibly impressive in Pride and Prejudice. Walk the Line will most likely win, though there may be competition from Memoirs of a Geisha.

Documentary Feature
Darwin's Nightmare
Enron: The Smartest Guys in the Room
March of the Penguins
Murderball
Street Fight

You're kidding yourself if you think anything other than March of the Penguins is going to win. I would have loved to have seen Grizzly Man on here, since it's both controversial and amazingly-shot and put together.

Film Editing
Cinderella Man
The Constant Gardener
Crash
Munich
Walk the Line

Again, I'm just guessing here.

Makeup
The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe
Cinderella Man
Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith

The makeup crew from Chronicles of Narnia should definately win the award in this category, since they were able to create so many incredible-looking characters. And unlike Star Wars, they didn't look like humans in a shitload of makeup, they actually looked like real creatures.

Original Song
"In the Deep" from Crash
"It's Hard Out Here for a Pimp" from Hustle & Flow
"Travelin' Thru" from Transamerica

I mainly hope this will win so that the presenter has to say "pimp" again. Though it would be hilarious to see Dolly Parton up on the Oscar stage too. This year they're ripping the audience off though. There should be FIVE songs, not THREE. There has to be two more songs that could have been added... hell, take a song from Walk the Line or something... or "Wunderkind" from Chronicles of Narnia.

Visual Effects
The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe
King Kong
War of the Worlds

I really hope Chronicles of Narnia wins for this. It would be ridiculous if it didn't. I've actually seen all of the movies in this category, and the other two weren't particularly convincing with their visual effects. Sure, Kong was great in King Kong, but Aslan kicks Kong's ass in comparison.